Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.49 – 80.12

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.7 ±17.3

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 36.73Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 46.59Rank 14Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -3.83Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 108.8 ±44

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 49.28Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.65Rank 26Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10932Tulpar

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 7.19Rank 24Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6025, 9545, 6402

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6025, 9545, 6402

Auto

18.8 24%

Teleop

41.7 54%

Endgame

16.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10243, 9990, 10932

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.1 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10243, 9990, 10932

Auto

8.9 12%

Teleop

42.4 56%

Endgame

24.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score79.5pts

Blue projected score80.1pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.6
Score range: 58–101
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 76 vs event baseline 117.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

286.7Season APEX108.8

18.8Auto8.9

41.7Teleop42.4

16.8Endgame24.6

37Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	12
teleop	8	18
endgame	6	12
foul	5	0
total	34	42

Result

Final score

34 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 41.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree