Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

13.59 – 158.21

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 102.3 ±18

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 52.37Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 3.59Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -42.37Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191.3 ±17.5

9473CYGNUS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 54.51Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10932Tulpar

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 0.62Rank 24Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 103.08Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10246, 6038, 10141

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.6 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10246, 6038, 10141

Auto

16.4 0%

Teleop

-23.4 100%

Endgame

5.9 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9473, 10932, 8859

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.2 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9473, 10932, 8859

Auto

19.5 12%

Teleop

98.0 62%

Endgame

39.6 25%

Strengths

· 8859 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.49 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score13.6pts

Blue projected score158.2pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -144.6
Score range: -5–177
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 106.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

102.3Season APEX191.3

16.4Auto19.5

-23.4Teleop98

5.9Endgame39.6

62Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	28
teleop	33	101
endgame	27	49
foul	0	0
total	70	178

Result

Final score

70 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 38.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree