Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.57 – 152.47

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.3 ±19

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 5.85Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 20.44Rank 30Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 27.28Rank 29Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 125 ±22

6228MAT Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 58.07Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 24.65Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 69.75Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6948, 8182, 10623

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.6 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6948, 8182, 10623

Auto

13.6 26%

Teleop

12.3 24%

Endgame

25.7 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6228, 6025, 10243

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.5 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6228, 6025, 10243

Auto

20.2 15%

Teleop

89.4 66%

Endgame

26.5 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.69 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score53.6pts

Blue projected score152.5pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.9
Score range: 35–171
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 106.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.3Season APEX125

13.6Auto20.2

12.3Teleop89.4

25.7Endgame26.5

31Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	9
teleop	35	126
endgame	37	51
foul	5	0
total	81	186

Result

Final score

81 – 186

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree