Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.62 – 123.27

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 108.6 ±20.5

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 24.85Rank 32Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 2.1Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX -6.33Rank 23Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233 ±19.3

9026Aero

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 21.7Rank 17Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10906Lunea Lumen

Provisional

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -31.01Rank 31Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 132.58Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10185, 10521, 9132

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.6 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10185, 10521, 9132

Auto

11.7 55%

Teleop

-4.4 0%

Endgame

13.9 66%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9026, 10906, 6431

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9026, 10906, 6431

Auto

20.8 17%

Teleop

77.4 63%

Endgame

24.5 20%

Strengths

· 6431 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.67 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score20.6pts

Blue projected score123.3pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -102.6
Score range: 2–142
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 106.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

108.6Season APEX233

11.7Auto20.8

-4.4Teleop77.4

13.9Endgame24.5

2Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	35
teleop	15	88
endgame	11	24
foul	15	20
total	55	167

Result

Final score

55 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree