Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

111.46 – 4.32

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.5 ±21.4

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 51.14Rank 13Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10932Tulpar

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 18.46Rank 24Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8263Robin

Provisional

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 41.86Rank 22Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.3 ±20.2

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -16.63Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 30.99Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX -10.04Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9160, 10932, 8263

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9160, 10932, 8263

Auto

9.5 9%

Teleop

77.7 70%

Endgame

23.7 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6402, 4972, 6038

/ 100 compat

Projected

4.3 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6402, 4972, 6038

Auto

14.6 100%

Teleop

-5.6 0%

Endgame

-2.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score111.5pts

Blue projected score4.3pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.1
Score range: -15–130
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 126 vs event baseline 107.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.5Season APEX197.3

9.5Auto14.6

77.7Teleop-5.6

23.7Endgame-2.9

6Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	13
teleop	14	52
endgame	0	32
foul	0	0
total	29	97

Result

Final score

29 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 87.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree