Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.46 – 84.1

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 13.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 98.3 ±44

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 11.11Rank 34Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 71.51Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.84Rank 16Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 97.2 ±16.4

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -26.36Rank 35Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 52.79Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9473CYGNUS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 57.67Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7298, 10243, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7298, 10243, 9991

Auto

7.2 7%

Teleop

65.8 68%

Endgame

24.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11300, 10246, 9473

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11300, 10246, 9473

Auto

14.4 18%

Teleop

29.0 36%

Endgame

37.4 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score102.5pts

Blue projected score84.1pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.4
Score range: 64–122
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 108.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

98.3Season APEX97.2

7.2Auto14.4

65.8Teleop29

24Endgame37.4

2Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	19
teleop	24	37
endgame	27	15
foul	15	15
total	77	86

Result

Final score

77 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 13.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree