Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

66.34 – 60.79

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

80 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.1 ±16.9

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -40.19Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 94.39Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9026Aero

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 12.14Rank 17Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 106.6 ±20.5

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 14.98Rank 29Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 0.54Rank 23Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

5655KelRot

Provisional

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX 45.27Rank 28Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10141, 9025, 9026

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.3 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10141, 9025, 9026

Auto

22.4 34%

Teleop

31.8 48%

Endgame

12.6 19%

Strengths

· 9025 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10623, 9132, 5655

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.8 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10623, 9132, 5655

Auto

18.8 37%

Teleop

21.5 42%

Endgame

11.0 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score66.3pts

Blue projected score60.8pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.6
Score range: 43–84
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 158 vs event baseline 102.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.1Season APEX106.6

22.4Auto18.8

31.8Teleop21.5

12.6Endgame11

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	13
teleop	16	5
endgame	25	15
foul	30	45
total	80	78

Result

Final score

80 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree