Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.62 – 84.7

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.5 ±17.7

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 35.11Rank 25Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 37.46Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 6.05Rank 35Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.7 ±14.6

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 19.91Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9473CYGNUS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 23.1Event APEX 48.46Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11000NEOCHIRON

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 16.33Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11365, 10415, 11300

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11365, 10415, 11300

Auto

19.9 32%

Teleop

33.8 54%

Endgame

9.0 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6948, 9473, 11000

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.7 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6948, 9473, 11000

Auto

17.5 21%

Teleop

29.9 36%

Endgame

36.6 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score78.6pts

Blue projected score84.7pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.1
Score range: 58–106
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 164 vs event baseline 117.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.5Season APEX228.7

19.9Auto17.5

33.8Teleop29.9

9Endgame36.6

44Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	16
teleop	25	68
endgame	17	32
foul	0	0
total	48	116

Result

Final score

48 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree