Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.53 – 61.7

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 117 ±43.7

9026Aero

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 19.29Rank 17Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -8.14Rank 26Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 20.38Rank 34Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.6 ±17.7

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 42.16Rank 25Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 14.19Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7466Cymurghs

Provisional

Season APEX 118.8Event APEX 5.35Rank 20Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9026, 9990, 7298

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.5 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9026, 9990, 7298

Auto

8.6 24%

Teleop

23.7 66%

Endgame

3.8 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11365, 6948, 7466

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.7 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11365, 6948, 7466

Auto

14.2 24%

Teleop

28.5 48%

Endgame

16.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score31.5pts

Blue projected score61.7pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.2
Score range: 14–80
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 164 vs event baseline 101.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

117Season APEX263.6

8.6Auto14.2

23.7Teleop28.5

3.8Endgame16.6

0Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	26
teleop	7	42
endgame	14	15
foul	0	45
total	36	128

Result

Final score

36 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 35.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree