Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.27 – 37.45

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

64 – 30

Prediction missed · off by 20.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.4 ±14.4

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 2.32Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -30.23Rank 35Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 59.18Rank 14Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 98.4 ±18.6

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 5.54Rank 23Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 13.17Rank 30Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 18.74Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6038, 11300, 9545

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.3 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6038, 11300, 9545

Auto

1.7 6%

Teleop

13.5 51%

Endgame

11.3 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9132, 8182, 6025

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9132, 8182, 6025

Auto

3.2 7%

Teleop

23.0 47%

Endgame

22.4 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score31.3pts

Blue projected score37.5pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.2
Score range: 12–56
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 94 vs event baseline 103.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.4Season APEX98.4

1.7Auto3.2

13.5Teleop23

11.3Endgame22.4

133Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	16
teleop	32	14
endgame	20	0
foul	0	0
total	64	30

Result

Final score

64 – 30

Prediction missed · off by 20.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree