Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.56 – 201.27

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

70 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 275.6 ±19.4

11000NEOCHIRON

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 25.31Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 33.81Rank 32Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 44.44Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.5 ±17.7

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 182.7Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -45.64Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 64.21Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11000, 10185, 4972

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11000, 10185, 4972

Auto

20.6 21%

Teleop

64.5 65%

Endgame

14.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8159, 10141, 10243

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8159, 10141, 10243

Auto

47.1 23%

Teleop

94.8 45%

Endgame

66.8 32%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.73 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score103.6pts

Blue projected score201.3pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.7
Score range: 86–219
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 101.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

275.6Season APEX359.5

20.6Auto47.1

64.5Teleop94.8

14.5Endgame66.8

12Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	49
teleop	39	155
endgame	0	44
foul	5	5
total	70	253

Result

Final score

70 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree