Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.69 – 109.64

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 47 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 203 ±22

7050SARNIC

Provisional

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 51.72Rank 15Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9026Aero

Provisional

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 31.82Rank 17Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6402GÖKTÜRKLER

Provisional

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -8.85Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.6 ±17.3

9545Caracal Robotics

Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 45.73Rank 14Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 10.81Rank 34Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 53.1Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7050, 9026, 6402

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.7 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7050, 9026, 6402

Auto

13.6 20%

Teleop

58.6 86%

Endgame

-3.7 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9545, 7298, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.6 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9545, 7298, 10246

Auto

25.3 28%

Teleop

52.9 59%

Endgame

11.1 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score74.7pts

Blue projected score109.6pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.9
Score range: 57–128
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 97.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

203Season APEX284.6

13.6Auto25.3

58.6Teleop52.9

-3.7Endgame11.1

7Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	33
teleop	5	99
endgame	0	33
foul	15	0
total	36	165

Result

Final score

36 – 165

Prediction correct · off by 47 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree