Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

192.19 – 9.22

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

275 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 447.2 ±18.7

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 161.27Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -1.63Rank 29Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 32.55Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.9 ±19

10906Lunea Lumen

Provisional

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX -24.86Rank 31Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 23.59Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 10.49Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8159, 10623, 4972

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.2 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8159, 10623, 4972

Auto

47.5 25%

Teleop

104.7 54%

Endgame

41.1 21%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10906, 10415, 6948

/ 100 compat

Projected

9.2 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10906, 10415, 6948

Auto

11.5 74%

Teleop

-3.8 0%

Endgame

7.9 51%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score192.2pts

Blue projected score9.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 183
Score range: -8–209
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 94.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

447.2Season APEX205.9

47.5Auto11.5

104.7Teleop-3.8

41.1Endgame7.9

73Consistency165

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	20
teleop	136	1
endgame	71	0
foul	0	0
total	275	21

Result

Final score

275 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree