Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

138.28 – 8.75

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

28 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 93.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.2 ±20.5

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 94.67Rank 13Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 63.21Rank 32Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -19.6Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 88 ±43.2

8263Robin

Provisional

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX -0.03Rank 22Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 9.42Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -0.64Rank 16Record 4-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9160, 10185, 10141

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9160, 10185, 10141

Auto

29.8 22%

Teleop

74.4 56%

Endgame

29.1 22%

Strengths

· 9160 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8263, 6025, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.8 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8263, 6025, 9991

Auto

1.5 31%

Teleop

-9.7 0%

Endgame

13.0 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.9 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score138.3pts

Blue projected score8.8pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 129.5
Score range: -8–155
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 113 vs event baseline 96.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.2Season APEX88

29.8Auto1.5

74.4Teleop-9.7

29.1Endgame13

79Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	16
teleop	12	37
endgame	6	32
foul	0	0
total	28	85

Result

Final score

28 – 85

Prediction missed · off by 93.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree