Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

16.03 – 80.92

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 129.3 ±18.6

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -35.02Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

8263Robin

Provisional

Season APEX 46.1Event APEX 1.52Rank 22Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 49.53Rank 25Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.5 ±20.3

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 82.33Rank 7Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6948EAGLES

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX -1.23Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX -0.18Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10141, 8263, 11365

/ 100 compat

Projected

16 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10141, 8263, 11365

Auto

15.5 90%

Teleop

7.0 41%

Endgame

-5.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10243, 6948, 10521

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10243, 6948, 10521

Auto

3.2 4%

Teleop

37.4 47%

Endgame

39.7 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score16pts

Blue projected score80.9pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.9
Score range: -2–99
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 99.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

129.3Season APEX197.5

15.5Auto3.2

7Teleop37.4

-5.3Endgame39.7

35Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	3
teleop	14	32
endgame	12	56
foul	0	0
total	43	91

Result

Final score

43 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 18.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree