Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.13 – 99.33

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 91.5 ±43.2

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -29.2Rank 26Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 20.71Rank 30Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 57.62Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.4 ±19.2

9132Roborsa Başakşehir

Season APEX -4.5Event APEX 28.83Rank 23Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

4972BORUSAN ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 117.7Event APEX 49.56Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 20.94Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9990, 8182, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9990, 8182, 10246

Auto

20.0 46%

Teleop

29.2 67%

Endgame

-5.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9132, 4972, 10415

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9132, 4972, 10415

Auto

6.4 6%

Teleop

68.9 68%

Endgame

26.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score49.1pts

Blue projected score99.3pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.2
Score range: 31–117
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 101.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

91.5Season APEX189.4

20Auto6.4

29.2Teleop68.9

-5.8Endgame26.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	23
teleop	19	32
endgame	20	7
foul	15	5
total	64	67

Result

Final score

64 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 23.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree