Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

88.78 – 0

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 95.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.2 ±19.3

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 63.12Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5655KelRot

Provisional

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX -32.52Rank 28Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 58.18Rank 13Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.4 ±19

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX -3.4Rank 34Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10623AY YILDIZ ROBOTİM

Provisional

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -7.42Rank 29Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -29.53Rank 35Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6431, 5655, 9160

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.8 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6431, 5655, 9160

Auto

16.9 18%

Teleop

52.1 55%

Endgame

24.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7298, 10623, 11300

/ 100 compat

Projected

-40.3 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7298, 10623, 11300

Auto

10.7 0%

Teleop

-33.1 85%

Endgame

-16.7 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score88.8pts

Blue projected score-40.3pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.8
Score range: -18–107
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 99.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

273.2Season APEX156.4

16.9Auto10.7

52.1Teleop-33.1

24.9Endgame-16.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	12
teleop	144	3
endgame	50	0
foul	45	0
total	264	15

Result

Final score

264 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 95.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree