Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.12 – 128.34

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.7 ±19.3

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 55.77Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5655KelRot

Provisional

Season APEX 59.9Event APEX -31.32Rank 28Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10906Lunea Lumen

Provisional

Season APEX 23.6Event APEX 22.67Rank 31Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.9 ±17.5

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 55.77Rank 18Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

11000NEOCHIRON

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 31.38Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6025Adroit Androids

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 41.19Rank 11Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9025, 5655, 10906

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9025, 5655, 10906

Auto

23.7 63%

Teleop

22.4 59%

Endgame

-8.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10246, 11000, 6025

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.3 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10246, 11000, 6025

Auto

27.7 24%

Teleop

68.7 58%

Endgame

21.4 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score47.1pts

Blue projected score128.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.2
Score range: 31–144
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 89.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.7Season APEX171.9

23.7Auto27.7

22.4Teleop68.7

-8.2Endgame21.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	25
teleop	34	31
endgame	7	14
foul	0	15
total	60	85

Result

Final score

60 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree