Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 6.38

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

71 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 42.3 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 238.8 ±21.4

7466Cymurghs

Provisional

Season APEX 118.8Event APEX -23.38Rank 20Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

7298TOROS

Provisional

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX -2.41Rank 34Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX -11.09Rank 32Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.7 ±19.2

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 8.51Rank 9Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10141Turing Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -2.41Rank 33Record 2-5-0Status establishedConfidence 83

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 0.28Rank 30Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7466, 7298, 10185

/ 100 compat

Projected

-36.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7466, 7298, 10185

Auto

14.5 0%

Teleop

-29.0 81%

Endgame

-21.3 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10415, 10141, 8182

/ 100 compat

Projected

6.4 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10415, 10141, 8182

Auto

13.1 100%

Teleop

2.4 32%

Endgame

-8.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score-36.9pts

Blue projected score6.4pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.4
Score range: -17–23
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 91 vs event baseline 94.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

238.8Season APEX181.7

14.5Auto13.1

-29Teleop2.4

-21.3Endgame-8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	13
teleop	52	3
endgame	0	4
foul	5	0
total	71	20

Result

Final score

71 – 20

Prediction missed · off by 42.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree