Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

331.13 – 263.31

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

417 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 158.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 454.1 ±11

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 12.73Rank 35Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9025Mechameleons

Season APEX 132.2Event APEX 110.91Rank 5Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 207.49Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.1 ±15.6

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 138.35Rank 2Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8859Bora Robotics

Season APEX 96.1Event APEX 111.18Rank 3Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8182Loth Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 61Event APEX 13.78Rank 30Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11300, 9025, 8159

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.1 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11300, 9025, 8159

Auto

64.0 20%

Teleop

183.9 58%

Endgame

70.4 22%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6431, 8859, 8182

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.3 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6431, 8859, 8182

Auto

34.7 14%

Teleop

150.0 62%

Endgame

56.6 23%

Strengths

· 6431 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.68 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score331.1pts

Blue projected score263.3pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample124alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67.8
Score range: 242–352
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 116.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

454.1Season APEX311.1

64Auto34.7

183.9Teleop150

70.4Endgame56.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	13
teleop	195	0
endgame	97	0
foul	45	20
total	417	33

Result

Final score

417 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 158.1 pts