Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
643.93 – 672.49
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
507 – 548
Prediction correct · off by 130.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 908.1 ±8.7
Season APEX 283Event APEX 266.09Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 200.75Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 177.09Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 836.9 ±8.1
Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 270.76Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265Event APEX 191.03Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 210.7Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10021, 1987, 195
78
/ 100 compatProjected
643.9 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10021, 1987, 195
Auto
119.6 19%
Teleop
343.0 53%
Endgame
181.6 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 52%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 359, 9032, 1833
81
/ 100 compatProjected
672.5 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 359, 9032, 1833
Auto
125.5 19%
Teleop
365.3 54%
Endgame
185.4 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 52%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.1 · Blue 2.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score643.9pts
Blue projected score672.5pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 74%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 50%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -28.6
- Score range
- 547–769
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
908.1Season APEX836.9
119.6Auto125.5
343Teleop365.3
181.6Endgame185.4
163Consistency185
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 111 | 110 |
| teleop | 301 | 305 |
| endgame | 95 | 118 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 507 | 548 |
Result
Final score
507 – 548
Prediction correct · off by 130.7 pts
Match videos
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