Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

852.46 – 747.21

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Tie

Final score

614 – 614

Prediction correct · off by 185.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1115 ±8.8

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 226.45Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 305.47Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 320.54Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 871.5 ±7.5

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 282.27Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 195.65Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 269.29Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 2481, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

852.5 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 2481, 8044

Auto

141.1 17%

Teleop

476.5 56%

Endgame

230.8 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1768, 7457, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

747.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1768, 7457, 67

Auto

140.2 19%

Teleop

401.8 54%

Endgame

201.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.77 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score852.5pts

Blue projected score747.2pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 48%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.3
Score range: 650–949
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1228 vs event baseline 537.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1115Season APEX871.5

141.1Auto140.2

476.5Teleop401.8

230.8Endgame201.6

130Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	177	141
teleop	309	282
endgame	103	191
foul	25	0
total	614	614

Result

Final score

614 – 614

Prediction correct · off by 185.8 pts

Match videos

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