Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

688.27 – 627.09

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

730 – 608

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1044.6 ±8.7

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 281.69Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 248.92Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 157.66Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 881.3 ±9.3

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 271.25Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 201.86Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 153.98Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5687, 2056, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

688.3 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5687, 2056, 5907

Auto

179.9 26%

Teleop

377.1 55%

Endgame

129.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10021, 1987, 4143

/ 100 compat

Projected

627.1 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10021, 1987, 4143

Auto

116.7 19%

Teleop

365.4 59%

Endgame

140.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.44 · Blue 1.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score688.3pts

Blue projected score627.1pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 51%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.2
Score range: 531–784
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1338 vs event baseline 535.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1044.6Season APEX881.3

179.9Auto116.7

377.1Teleop365.4

129.9Endgame140

131Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	191	107
teleop	394	309
endgame	140	187
foul	5	5
total	730	608

Result

Final score

730 – 608

Prediction correct · off by 30.4 pts

Match videos

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