Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
614.62 – 435.73
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
707 – 703
Prediction correct · off by 179.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 908.1 ±8.7
Season APEX 283Event APEX 259Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 190.15Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 165.47Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 832.8 ±8.7
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 129.68Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 176.31Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 129.74Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10021, 1987, 195
77
/ 100 compatProjected
614.6 pts
~3.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10021, 1987, 195
Auto
125.5 20%
Teleop
330.8 54%
Endgame
158.5 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 52%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1002, 3641, 2468
61
/ 100 compatProjected
435.7 pts
~1.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1002, 3641, 2468
Auto
95.0 22%
Teleop
250.5 59%
Endgame
76.9 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 74%
Supercharged: 52%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.09 · Blue 1.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score614.6pts
Blue projected score435.7pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 74%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 55%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 178.9
- Score range
- 340–711
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Match context
Close match
High scoring
Playoff
Combined score 1410 vs event baseline 531.2.
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
908.1Season APEX832.8
125.5Auto95
330.8Teleop250.5
158.5Endgame76.9
158Consistency157
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 103 | 135 |
| teleop | 380 | 431 |
| endgame | 224 | 137 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 707 | 703 |
Result
Final score
707 – 703
Prediction correct · off by 179.8 pts
Match videos
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