Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
687.42 – 706.81
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
695 – 613
Prediction missed · off by 50.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 1044.6 ±8.7
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 285.76Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 247.22Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 154.44Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 894.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 266.03Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 252.46Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 188.32Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5687, 2056, 5907
80
/ 100 compatProjected
687.4 pts
~1.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 5687, 2056, 5907
Auto
180.9 26%
Teleop
381.7 56%
Endgame
123.0 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 46%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4028, 1706, 1732
82
/ 100 compatProjected
706.8 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 4028, 1706, 1732
Auto
130.1 18%
Teleop
403.6 57%
Endgame
171.0 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 46%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.95 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score687.4pts
Blue projected score706.8pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 52%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19.4
- Score range
- 592–802
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
1044.6Season APEX894.2
180.9Auto130.1
381.7Teleop403.6
123Endgame171
123Consistency138
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 168 | 108 |
| teleop | 368 | 290 |
| endgame | 159 | 215 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 695 | 613 |
Result
Final score
695 – 613
Prediction missed · off by 50.7 pts
Match videos
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