Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

708.98 – 660.31

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

734 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 104.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1044.6 ±8.7

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 287.32Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 256.37Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 165.29Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 836.9 ±8.1

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 268.35Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 186.75Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 205.21Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5687, 2056, 5907

/ 100 compat

Projected

709 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5687, 2056, 5907

Auto

181.3 26%

Teleop

388.1 55%

Endgame

138.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 359, 9032, 1833

/ 100 compat

Projected

660.3 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 359, 9032, 1833

Auto

124.0 19%

Teleop

360.7 55%

Endgame

170.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.37 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score709pts

Blue projected score660.3pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 50%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48.7
Score range: 562–807
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 1210 vs event baseline 543.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1044.6Season APEX836.9

181.3Auto124

388.1Teleop360.7

138Endgame170.4

142Consistency183

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	194	148
teleop	424	190
endgame	116	138
foul	0	0
total	734	476

Result

Final score

734 – 476

Prediction correct · off by 104.7 pts

Match videos

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