Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
254.25 – 254.25
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
298 – 352
Prediction missed · off by 70.8 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 266.5Event APEX -Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX -Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 326.9Event APEX -Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 811.3 ±8.7
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX -Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.6Event APEX -Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX -Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1710, 45, 5907
50
/ 100 compatProjected
254.3 pts
~2.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1710, 45, 5907
Auto
76.3 30%
Teleop
127.1 50%
Endgame
50.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 41%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1002, 1792, 195
50
/ 100 compatProjected
254.3 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1002, 1792, 195
Auto
76.3 30%
Teleop
127.1 50%
Endgame
50.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 41%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.07 · Blue 2.26
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score254.3pts
Blue projected score254.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 53%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 162–346
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
699.2Season APEX811.3
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 93 | 47 |
| teleop | 158 | 228 |
| endgame | 47 | 77 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 298 | 352 |
Result
Final score
298 – 352
Prediction missed · off by 70.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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