Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

606.04 – 454.38

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

678 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 118.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 889 ±8.7

930Mukwonago BEARs

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 133.09Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 158.57Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 314.38Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 596.1 ±9.4

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 208.44Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 165.04Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11415Storm Surge

Season APEX 190.5Event APEX 80.9Rank 49Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 930, 195, 8044

/ 100 compat

Projected

606 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 930, 195, 8044

Auto

118.2 19%

Teleop

346.3 57%

Endgame

144.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7457, 8085, 11415

/ 100 compat

Projected

454.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7457, 8085, 11415

Auto

83.1 19%

Teleop

222.3 50%

Endgame

143.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.98 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score606pts

Blue projected score454.4pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.7
Score range: 359–701
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 968 vs event baseline 530.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

889Season APEX596.1

118.2Auto83.1

346.3Teleop222.3

144.1Endgame143

154Consistency169

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	150	125
teleop	340	126
endgame	188	39
foul	0	0
total	678	290

Result

Final score

678 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 118.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.