Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

536.64 – 457.51

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

492 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 187.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 802.6 ±9.3

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 80.29Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 268.95Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 187.4Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 739.3 ±9.3

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 164.25Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 144.23Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 149.03Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 484, 4028, 1023

/ 100 compat

Projected

536.6 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 484, 4028, 1023

Auto

112.6 21%

Teleop

269.8 50%

Endgame

157.7 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6517, 1024, 2767

/ 100 compat

Projected

457.5 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6517, 1024, 2767

Auto

83.3 19%

Teleop

247.6 56%

Endgame

114.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.66 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score536.6pts

Blue projected score457.5pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 79%

Supercharged bonusred 43%, blue 59%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.1
Score range: 362–633
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 619 vs event baseline 533.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

802.6Season APEX739.3

112.6Auto83.3

269.8Teleop247.6

157.7Endgame114.9

154Consistency171

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	121	77
teleop	274	34
endgame	97	16
foul	0	0
total	492	127

Result

Final score

492 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 187.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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