Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

346.58 – 492.12

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

456 – 635

Prediction correct · off by 126.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 626.1 ±9.3

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 36.57Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 217.25Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 92.76Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 796 ±9.8

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 152.01Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 99.4Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 240.71Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2377, 9032, 3414

/ 100 compat

Projected

346.6 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2377, 9032, 3414

Auto

116.8 33%

Teleop

159.5 46%

Endgame

73.3 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1918, 1710, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

492.1 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1918, 1710, 10021

Auto

68.5 14%

Teleop

303.6 63%

Endgame

108.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.46 · Blue 3.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score346.6pts

Blue projected score492.1pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 43%, blue 52%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -145.5
Score range: 251–588
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1091 vs event baseline 533.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

626.1Season APEX796

116.8Auto68.5

159.5Teleop303.6

73.3Endgame108.1

209Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	53
teleop	231	355
endgame	130	227
foul	0	0
total	456	635

Result

Final score

456 – 635

Prediction correct · off by 126.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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