Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

802.69 – 428.53

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

691 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 91.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 858.2 ±8.8

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 196.34Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 302.34Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 304.01Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 605.7 ±9.8

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 126.63Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX -8.67Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 310.57Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9401, 5687, 359

/ 100 compat

Projected

802.7 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9401, 5687, 359

Auto

137.6 17%

Teleop

437.2 55%

Endgame

226.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 56%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 45, 234, 2481

/ 100 compat

Projected

428.5 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 45, 234, 2481

Auto

55.7 13%

Teleop

228.6 53%

Endgame

143.3 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 56%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.22 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score802.7pts

Blue projected score428.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 56%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 374.2
Score range: 333–899
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1049 vs event baseline 533.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

858.2Season APEX605.7

137.6Auto55.7

437.2Teleop228.6

226.7Endgame143.3

151Consistency139

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	169	100
teleop	335	128
endgame	182	130
foul	5	0
total	691	358

Result

Final score

691 – 358

Prediction correct · off by 91.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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