Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

624.23 – 570.54

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

620 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 164.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 823.8 ±8.7

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 184.56Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 263.06Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 176.61Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 914 ±8.7

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 164.47Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5907CC Shambots

A+

Season APEX 326.9Event APEX 191.78Rank 19Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 214.29Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1732, 67, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

624.2 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1732, 67, 3641

Auto

127.7 21%

Teleop

365.7 60%

Endgame

116.7 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 56%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1002, 5907, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

570.5 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1002, 5907, 5000

Auto

125.1 22%

Teleop

331.9 58%

Endgame

116.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 56%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.62 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score624.2pts

Blue projected score570.5pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 56%, blue 50%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.7
Score range: 475–720
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 866 vs event baseline 534.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

823.8Season APEX914

127.7Auto125.1

365.7Teleop331.9

116.7Endgame116.1

164Consistency151

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	133	86
teleop	306	139
endgame	166	21
foul	15	0
total	620	246

Result

Final score

620 – 246

Prediction correct · off by 164.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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