Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

459.27 – 650.36

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

623 – 465

Prediction missed · off by 174.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 696.5 ±8.8

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 111.86Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 142.43Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 204.98Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 807.9 ±9.3

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 285.61Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 199.3Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 165.45Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6721, 7890, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

459.3 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6721, 7890, 27

Auto

95.4 21%

Teleop

218.9 48%

Endgame

142.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 47%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1261, 8608, 4143

/ 100 compat

Projected

650.4 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1261, 8608, 4143

Auto

102.0 16%

Teleop

375.8 59%

Endgame

164.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 47%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.41 · Blue 3.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score459.3pts

Blue projected score650.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 82%

Supercharged bonusred 47%, blue 50%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -191.1
Score range: 363–746
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 1088 vs event baseline 534.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

696.5Season APEX807.9

95.4Auto102

218.9Teleop375.8

142.2Endgame164.3

167Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	139
teleop	365	215
endgame	162	111
foul	0	0
total	623	465

Result

Final score

623 – 465

Prediction missed · off by 174.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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