Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
263.75 – 263.75
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
442 – 347
Prediction correct · off by 130.8 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 812.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 211.4Event APEX -Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 300Event APEX -Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.1Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 682.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 190.5Event APEX -Rank 49Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 246.7Event APEX -Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 245.7Event APEX -Rank 40Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1720, 8608, 4499
50
/ 100 compatProjected
263.8 pts
~2.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 1720, 8608, 4499
Auto
79.1 30%
Teleop
131.9 50%
Endgame
52.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 78%
Supercharged: 43%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11415, 930, 5712
50
/ 100 compatProjected
263.8 pts
~2.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 11415, 930, 5712
Auto
79.1 30%
Teleop
131.9 50%
Endgame
52.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 78%
Supercharged: 43%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.22 · Blue 2.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score263.8pts
Blue projected score263.8pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 78%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 43%, blue 44%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 169–359
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
812.5Season APEX682.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 74 | 95 |
| teleop | 257 | 229 |
| endgame | 111 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 442 | 347 |
Result
Final score
442 – 347
Prediction correct · off by 130.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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