Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

719.11 – 434.18

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

603 – 420

Prediction correct · off by 65.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 1055.4 ±9.3

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 206.43Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 262.69Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 249.99Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 768.5 ±8.7

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 147.93Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 210.54Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 75.71Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1987, 1706, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

719.1 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1987, 1706, 2056

Auto

176.2 24%

Teleop

412.8 57%

Endgame

136.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4499, 1833, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

434.2 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4499, 1833, 1741

Auto

116.4 26%

Teleop

227.0 52%

Endgame

96.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.17 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score719.1pts

Blue projected score434.2pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 51%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 284.9
Score range: 338–815
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1023 vs event baseline 534.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

1055.4Season APEX768.5

176.2Auto116.4

412.8Teleop227

136.7Endgame96.8

165Consistency136

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	182	138
teleop	345	182
endgame	71	100
foul	5	0
total	603	420

Result

Final score

603 – 420

Prediction correct · off by 65.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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