Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

552.16 – 340.9

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

647 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 921.1 ±8.7

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 147.25Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 293.54Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 111.37Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 568 ±9.3

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 144.2Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 33.31Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 163.39Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2767, 8044, 2468

/ 100 compat

Projected

552.2 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2767, 8044, 2468

Auto

124.1 23%

Teleop

310.9 57%

Endgame

111.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1024, 2377, 1792

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1024, 2377, 1792

Auto

61.6 19%

Teleop

169.4 52%

Endgame

97.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.16 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score552.2pts

Blue projected score340.9pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 46%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 211.3
Score range: 245–648
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 947 vs event baseline 535.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

921.1Season APEX568

124.1Auto61.6

310.9Teleop169.4

111.2Endgame97.8

168Consistency191

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	156	48
teleop	299	185
endgame	192	67
foul	0	0
total	647	300

Result

Final score

647 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 67.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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