Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

551.12 – 556.91

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

598 – 845

Prediction correct · off by 167.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 757 ±8.7

1023Bedford Express

Season APEX 226.7Event APEX 175.77Rank 28Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 157.25Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 218.1Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 915 ±8.7

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 131.24Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 162.73Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 262.94Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1023, 1002, 9032

/ 100 compat

Projected

551.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1023, 1002, 9032

Auto

111.7 20%

Teleop

317.9 58%

Endgame

123.2 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 195, 8608, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

556.9 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 195, 8608, 5687

Auto

111.0 20%

Teleop

315.1 57%

Endgame

127.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 51%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.19 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score551.1pts

Blue projected score556.9pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.8
Score range: 455–653
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1443 vs event baseline 533.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

757Season APEX915

111.7Auto111

317.9Teleop315.1

123.2Endgame127.8

198Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	117	177
teleop	311	444
endgame	170	224
foul	0	0
total	598	845

Result

Final score

598 – 845

Prediction correct · off by 167.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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