Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

588.69 – 555.65

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

674 – 600

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 859.9 ±9.3

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 135.68Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 198.31Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 254.7Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 713.8 ±9.8

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 120.75Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1732Hilltopper Robotics

Season APEX 280.4Event APEX 171.99Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 262.91Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 469, 1987, 4028

/ 100 compat

Projected

588.7 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 469, 1987, 4028

Auto

135.9 23%

Teleop

318.1 53%

Endgame

141.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 45, 1732, 1706

/ 100 compat

Projected

555.7 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 45, 1732, 1706

Auto

90.8 16%

Teleop

308.5 55%

Endgame

158.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.5 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score588.7pts

Blue projected score555.7pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 48%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33
Score range: 461–684
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1274 vs event baseline 527.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

859.9Season APEX713.8

135.9Auto90.8

318.1Teleop308.5

141.1Endgame158.2

151Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	155	137
teleop	357	365
endgame	162	98
foul	0	0
total	674	600

Result

Final score

674 – 600

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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