Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

500.75 – 627.58

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

451 – 566

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 644 ±9.3

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 154.23Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 204.92Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 141.6Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 962.5 ±8.7

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 259.7Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 251.45Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 116.43Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 3641, 469

/ 100 compat

Projected

500.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8085, 3641, 469

Auto

114.0 23%

Teleop

275.0 56%

Endgame

102.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10021, 2056, 2767

/ 100 compat

Projected

627.6 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10021, 2056, 2767

Auto

163.4 26%

Teleop

310.4 49%

Endgame

155.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 80%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.65 · Blue 2.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score500.8pts

Blue projected score627.6pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 80%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 50%, blue 56%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126.8
Score range: 402–727
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1017 vs event baseline 548.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

644Season APEX962.5

114Auto163.4

275Teleop310.4

102.2Endgame155.4

174Consistency157

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	140
teleop	230	339
endgame	115	87
foul	0	0
total	451	566

Result

Final score

451 – 566

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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