Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

410.45 – 570.48

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

415 – 602

Prediction correct · off by 18 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 545.9 ±9.3

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 154.33Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 121.82Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 134.3Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 718.1 ±9.3

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 222.02Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 201.18Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 147.28Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 45, 1720

/ 100 compat

Projected

410.5 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1024, 45, 1720

Auto

79.3 20%

Teleop

195.7 50%

Endgame

117.2 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 48%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9032, 5000, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

570.5 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9032, 5000, 8085

Auto

129.1 23%

Teleop

293.0 52%

Endgame

144.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 48%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.49 · Blue 2.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score410.5pts

Blue projected score570.5pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 48%, blue 48%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -160
Score range: 315–665
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1017 vs event baseline 526.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

545.9Season APEX718.1

79.3Auto129.1

195.7Teleop293

117.2Endgame144

188Consistency200

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	121
teleop	225	334
endgame	140	147
foul	0	0
total	415	602

Result

Final score

415 – 602

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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