Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

479.98 – 493.02

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

262 – 567

Prediction correct · off by 146 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 683.2 ±9.8

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 186.91Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 162.91Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3940CyberTooth

Season APEX 146.9Event APEX 130.16Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 712.8 ±8.8

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 300.16Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 78.14Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 114.72Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6517, 4499, 3940

/ 100 compat

Projected

480 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6517, 4499, 3940

Auto

105.5 22%

Teleop

257.7 54%

Endgame

118.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 49%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 359, 1710, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

493 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 359, 1710, 7890

Auto

85.2 17%

Teleop

318.2 65%

Endgame

88.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 49%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.2 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score480pts

Blue projected score493pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 49%, blue 55%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13
Score range: 384–589
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 829 vs event baseline 530.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

683.2Season APEX712.8

105.5Auto85.2

257.7Teleop318.2

118.2Endgame88.3

145Consistency202

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	130
teleop	134	315
endgame	65	122
foul	0	0
total	262	567

Result

Final score

262 – 567

Prediction correct · off by 146 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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