Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

644.96 – 509.17

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

551 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 124.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 951.2 ±8.7

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 263.06Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 283.42Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3414Hackbots

Season APEX 266.4Event APEX 98.48Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 708.1 ±9.3

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 197.32Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 38.91Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 272.94Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 67, 2056, 3414

/ 100 compat

Projected

645 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 67, 2056, 3414

Auto

180.4 28%

Teleop

350.8 54%

Endgame

119.0 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 55%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8608, 234, 4028

/ 100 compat

Projected

509.2 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8608, 234, 4028

Auto

97.0 19%

Teleop

251.7 49%

Endgame

166.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 55%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.97 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score645pts

Blue projected score509.2pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 55%, blue 39%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 135.8
Score range: 413–741
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 905 vs event baseline 534.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

951.2Season APEX708.1

180.4Auto97

350.8Teleop251.7

119Endgame166.2

180Consistency156

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	184	61
teleop	225	187
endgame	142	106
foul	0	0
total	551	354

Result

Final score

551 – 354

Prediction correct · off by 124.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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