Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

648.74 – 567.76

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

739 – 392

Prediction correct · off by 133 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 916.1 ±9.3

2468Team Appreciate

A+

Season APEX 304.8Event APEX 85.44Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 282.78Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 280.52Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 797.2 ±9.3

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 228.58Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 233.73Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11415Storm Surge

Season APEX 190.5Event APEX 105.45Rank 49Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2468, 2481, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

648.7 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2468, 2481, 1261

Auto

103.5 16%

Teleop

362.7 57%

Endgame

175.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10021, 1987, 11415

/ 100 compat

Projected

567.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10021, 1987, 11415

Auto

103.0 18%

Teleop

338.7 59%

Endgame

128.3 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 53%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.73 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score648.7pts

Blue projected score567.8pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 45%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81
Score range: 472–745
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 1131 vs event baseline 533.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

916.1Season APEX797.2

103.5Auto103

362.7Teleop338.7

175Endgame128.3

167Consistency180

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	80
teleop	399	204
endgame	212	108
foul	30	0
total	739	392

Result

Final score

739 – 392

Prediction correct · off by 133 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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