Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

526.33 – 542.73

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

485 – 420

Prediction missed · off by 82 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 861.9 ±9.3

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 271.58Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1792Round Table Robotics

Season APEX 244.6Event APEX 175.83Rank 33Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 78.92Rank 37Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 803.5 ±8.2

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 135.17Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 201.67Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 205.89Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1706, 1792, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

526.3 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1706, 1792, 484

Auto

96.4 18%

Teleop

280.8 53%

Endgame

154.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3176, 7457, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

542.7 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3176, 7457, 27

Auto

98.4 18%

Teleop

268.4 49%

Endgame

176.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 78%

Supercharged: 43%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.13 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score526.3pts

Blue projected score542.7pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 78%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 43%, blue 45%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.4
Score range: 430–639
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 905 vs event baseline 535.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

861.9Season APEX803.5

96.4Auto98.4

280.8Teleop268.4

154.5Endgame176.9

168Consistency168

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	146
teleop	271	189
endgame	129	85
foul	0	0
total	485	420

Result

Final score

485 – 420

Prediction missed · off by 82 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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