Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

404.91 – 587.67

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

600 – 692

Prediction correct · off by 149.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 812.1 ±8.7

5712Hemlock's Gray Matter

Season APEX 245.7Event APEX 112.74Rank 40Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 198.03Rank 21Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 94.14Rank 27Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 778 ±9.4

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 291.1Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 154.49Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4143MARS/WARS

Season APEX 274.6Event APEX 142.08Rank 34Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5712, 9032, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5712, 9032, 195

Auto

97.5 24%

Teleop

184.2 46%

Endgame

117.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 359, 6517, 4143

/ 100 compat

Projected

587.7 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 359, 6517, 4143

Auto

110.2 19%

Teleop

328.0 56%

Endgame

142.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 50%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.44 · Blue 3.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score404.9pts

Blue projected score587.7pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 50%, blue 52%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -182.8
Score range: 309–684
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 1292 vs event baseline 532.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

812.1Season APEX778

97.5Auto110.2

184.2Teleop328

117.4Endgame142.5

182Consistency216

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	121	129
teleop	312	451
endgame	167	112
foul	0	0
total	600	692

Result

Final score

600 – 692

Prediction correct · off by 149.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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