Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

553.4 – 612.38

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

678 – 712

Prediction correct · off by 112.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 771.2 ±7.5

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 179.22Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

359Hawaiian Kids

Season APEX 268.2Event APEX 260.47Rank 7Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 113.71Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 803.5 ±9.3

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 193.38Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 175.17Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1261Robo Lions Team1261

Season APEX 233.3Event APEX 243.83Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7457, 359, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

553.4 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7457, 359, 1024

Auto

101.0 18%

Teleop

288.2 53%

Endgame

158.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1987, 1918, 1261

/ 100 compat

Projected

612.4 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1987, 1918, 1261

Auto

96.7 16%

Teleop

336.2 55%

Endgame

173.2 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.85 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score553.4pts

Blue projected score612.4pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 55%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59
Score range: 454–711
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 1390 vs event baseline 548.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

771.2Season APEX803.5

101Auto96.7

288.2Teleop336.2

158.5Endgame173.2

143Consistency165

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	124
teleop	365	432
endgame	197	156
foul	0	0
total	678	712

Result

Final score

678 – 712

Prediction correct · off by 112.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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