Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

367.45 – 539.51

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

292 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 680.2 ±9.3

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 203.44Rank 18Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 90.57Rank 29Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 73.44Rank 45Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 805 ±8.7

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 149.92Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 252.86Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 136.73Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 469, 1710, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.5 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 469, 1710, 1741

Auto

105.8 29%

Teleop

228.0 63%

Endgame

26.5 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3641, 5687, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

539.5 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3641, 5687, 1024

Auto

98.1 18%

Teleop

323.4 60%

Endgame

115.5 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 77%

Supercharged: 41%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.41 · Blue 3.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score367.5pts

Blue projected score539.5pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 77%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 41%, blue 58%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -172.1
Score range: 271–636
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 865 vs event baseline 534.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

680.2Season APEX805

105.8Auto98.1

228Teleop323.4

26.5Endgame115.5

179Consistency166

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	93
teleop	178	293
endgame	50	127
foul	0	60
total	292	573

Result

Final score

292 – 573

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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