Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
609.36 – 437.92
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
706 – 692
Prediction correct · off by 175.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 768.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 98.84Rank 43Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 339.61Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 170.91Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 893 ±8.1
Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 121.94Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 123.69Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 192.29Rank 24Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 45, 8044, 5000
76
/ 100 compatProjected
609.4 pts
~3.0 RP (offseason)
Teams: 45, 8044, 5000
Auto
112.7 18%
Teleop
343.0 56%
Endgame
155.8 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 53%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2767, 4499, 1768
60
/ 100 compatProjected
437.9 pts
~1.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2767, 4499, 1768
Auto
88.4 20%
Teleop
245.6 57%
Endgame
100.2 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 53%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.04 · Blue 1.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score609.4pts
Blue projected score437.9pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 53%, blue 47%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 171.4
- Score range
- 342–705
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Match context
Upset
Close match
High scoring
Combined score 1398 vs event baseline 531.3.
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
768.5Season APEX893
112.7Auto88.4
343Teleop245.6
155.8Endgame100.2
170Consistency115
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 145 | 134 |
| teleop | 391 | 326 |
| endgame | 170 | 232 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 706 | 692 |
Result
Final score
706 – 692
Prediction correct · off by 175.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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