Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

302.93 – 392.7

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

486 – 441

Prediction missed · off by 115.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.9 ±9.3

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 86.41Rank 41Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 205.25Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 11.27Rank 50Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 527.8 ±9.8

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 199.5Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3176Purple Precision

Season APEX 133.1Event APEX 129.97Rank 47Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 63.23Rank 48Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 1987, 234

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.9 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8085, 1987, 234

Auto

68.3 23%

Teleop

164.5 56%

Endgame

61.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8608, 3176, 2377

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.7 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8608, 3176, 2377

Auto

82.8 21%

Teleop

194.7 49%

Endgame

117.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.53 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score302.9pts

Blue projected score392.7pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 40%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.8
Score range: 207–489
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 927 vs event baseline 532.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.9Season APEX527.8

68.3Auto82.8

164.5Teleop194.7

61.2Endgame117

169Consistency201

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	97
teleop	246	248
endgame	144	96
foul	0	0
total	486	441

Result

Final score

486 – 441

Prediction missed · off by 115.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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