Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

476.35 – 684.77

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

729 – 856

Prediction correct · off by 211.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 937.8 ±8.8

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 186.62Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 191.06Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 98.67Rank 26Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 964.6 ±8.8

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 252.57Rank 10Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 174.07Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2056OP Robotics

Season APEX 404.1Event APEX 258.13Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 9401, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

476.4 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 27, 9401, 1002

Auto

56.9 12%

Teleop

256.3 54%

Endgame

160.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 57%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4028, 7457, 2056

/ 100 compat

Projected

684.8 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4028, 7457, 2056

Auto

186.6 27%

Teleop

320.2 46%

Endgame

188.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 57%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.44 · Blue 3.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score476.4pts

Blue projected score684.8pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 57%, blue 49%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -208.4
Score range: 381–780
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1585 vs event baseline 526.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

937.8Season APEX964.6

56.9Auto186.6

256.3Teleop320.2

160.6Endgame188.2

153Consistency151

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	169	184
teleop	305	440
endgame	255	232
foul	0	0
total	729	856

Result

Final score

729 – 856

Prediction correct · off by 211.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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